A majority of people in Wales would support independence if it allowed the country to rejoin the European Union, according to a new poll commissioned by YesCymru.
The survey revealed that 51% of respondents said they would vote for Welsh independence under the condition that Wales could return to the EU.
This marks the first time a majority has expressed support for independence, though the question was framed around the prospect of rejoining Europe.
In a separate question, 41% said they would vote Yes if a referendum on Welsh independence were held tomorrow, without reference to the EU.
The poll comes just weeks before a major independence rally organised by YesCymru, scheduled to take place in Barry, south Wales, on 26 April.
Phyl Griffiths, chair of YesCymru, said the findings highlight how offering a clear post-independence vision can boost public support.
“While YesCymru does not take a position on EU membership, this result shows that when people are presented with a clear post-independence scenario, support for independence grows,” he said.
The debate around Welsh independence has intensified in recent years, particularly following Brexit. In the 2016 referendum, a majority in Wales voted to leave the European Union, but recent shifts in public opinion suggest growing dissatisfaction with the current political settlement.
The independence movement has gained momentum, with campaigners arguing that an independent Wales could better control its economy, health service, and international relations. However, critics say independence would bring economic uncertainty and new challenges for trade and governance.
YesCymru, established in 2014, is a grassroots organisation advocating for Welsh self-determination. It has organised a series of marches and public events aiming to raise awareness and build support for an independent Wales.
The findings are likely to add pressure on politicians ahead of the upcoming general election, with calls for greater devolution and a future independence referendum gaining traction among certain parties.
